Overview
- Decree 682/2025 sets a 0% rate for covered grains and bovine and avian categories until October 31 or until DJVEs reach US$7,000 million, requiring exporters to liquidate at least 90% of proceeds within three business days.
- Senior officials traveled to Rosario to defend the move, cast the farm sector as an ally, and said accelerating liquidations would reinforce Central Bank reserves and the government’s stabilization program.
- Grain markets reacted immediately, with soy quotes jumping to around US$360 per ton and active sales reported, after the BCRA sold roughly US$1.1 billion in recent days to defend the exchange band.
- Meat exporters warned the three‑day, 90% liquidation rule makes the benefit largely unusable for beef shipments, which often have 30/70 payment terms and ~60‑day transit to China, and they do not expect a quick impact on retail prices.
- Independent analysts estimate a near‑term fiscal cost around US$1 billion, while officials argue higher activity and investment will offset losses and confirmed the suspension ends on October 31 unless the US$7 billion cap is reached sooner.