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Argentina Agroexport Dollar Inflows Plunge 84% in October After Three-Day Export-Tax Suspension

The drop reflects advance liquidations pulled into September by a brief zero-retentions regime that triggered an exceptional one-month spike.

Overview

  • Agroexporters reported US$1.117 billion in October liquidations, down 84% from September and 56% year over year, according to CIARA-CEC.
  • September receipts reached about US$7.108 billion after Decree 682/2025 briefly suspended export duties, prompting firms to bring forward sales.
  • January–October liquidations totaled roughly US$29.564 billion, a 40% increase over the same period in 2024, underscoring strong year-to-date flows.
  • The Rosario Board of Trade estimates only about US$3.9 billion will be liquidated between October and December as earlier proceeds were front-loaded.
  • Industry data point to supportive fundamentals with soybean meal at seven-month highs and a record September crush of 4.13 million tonnes.