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Arch Manning’s NFL Draft Prospects and Texas Future Under Spotlight

Projected as a top 2026 NFL Draft pick, Manning’s decision to declare remains uncertain, with Steve Sarkisian’s NFL interest adding complexity.

Jan 1, 2025; Atlanta, GA, USA; Texas Longhorns quarterback Arch Manning (16) warms up before the Peach Bowl at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images/File Photo
Dec 31, 2024; Houston, TX, USA; LSU Tigers quarterback Garrett Nussmeier (13) hands off the ball to running back Josh Williams (18) during the first half against the Baylor Bears at NRG Stadium. The Tigers defeat the Bears 44-31. Mandatory Credit: Maria Lysaker-Imagn Images/File Photo
Nov 25, 2023; Columbia, South Carolina, USA; Clemson Tigers defensive lineman T.J. Parker (12) tackles South Carolina quarterback Spencer Rattler (7) during the fourth quarter at Williams-Brice Stadium.  Clemson won 16-7. Mandatory Credit: Ken Ruinard-USA TODAY Sports/File Photo
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Overview

  • Arch Manning is widely projected as a top-two pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, though one mock draft placed him as low as eighth overall.
  • Despite draft eligibility, Manning has not indicated whether he will declare for the 2026 draft or return to Texas for another season.
  • Analysts, including Adam Schefter, note that Manning could delay entering the draft, citing family precedent and lucrative NIL opportunities.
  • Michael Bratton suggests Manning may stay at Texas unless he wins both a Heisman Trophy and a national championship in the 2025 season.
  • Texas head coach Steve Sarkisian’s rumored NFL interest could influence Manning’s plans, with speculation about a potential package deal if Sarkisian moves to the NFL.