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Arch Manning’s Draft Stock Slides as Evaluators and Voters Question Readiness

Public criticism from NFL evaluators and Heisman voters raises the prospect that Manning could fall from first‑round contention unless he produces clear, high‑level outings in the coming marquee games.

Overview

  • Several NFL sources quoted by analyst Ryan Wilson told CBS Sports this week that Manning “has not lived up to expectations,” and Wilson said he would take five other quarterbacks ahead of Manning if the draft were held today.
  • Through four games this season Manning has completed 73 of 115 passes for 862 yards with seven touchdowns and three interceptions while Texas sits 4‑0, a team result that contrasts with uneven individual numbers.
  • A USA TODAY poll of 14 Heisman voters found none would put Manning on their ballot, with multiple voters calling him a fringe candidate and saying he is not currently in the award conversation.
  • Broadcast analysts and former players have pointed to specific, fixable flaws—slow progressions, limited pocket awareness and low per‑game passing output—that are driving his “developmental” tag in early 2027 mock drafts.
  • The Manning family narrative remains central: Eli Manning said he would welcome Arch to the New York area and Peyton’s son Marshall is already drawing Division I offers, while strong performances in upcoming games offer a clear path to restore Manning’s standing.