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Approval Odds for U.S. Solana ETF Hit 100%, Analyst Says

Final approval now turns on S-1 registration clearance under the SEC’s new generic listing framework.

Overview

  • The SEC’s adoption of generic listing standards has sidelined the 19b-4 review clock, leaving S-1 sign-off by the Division of Corporation Finance as the decisive step.
  • Solana ETF issuers have refreshed filings, with a fourth amendment submitted for Solana’s S-1 as preparations for potential launch advance.
  • Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas says approval is effectively certain, characterizing the odds at 100% after the procedural shift.
  • The SEC has withdrawn remaining delay notices for multiple crypto ETF applications, signaling a path to decisions without further holdups.
  • Analysts expect speculative buying ahead of launch with possible sell-the-news pressure, noting Bitcoin ETFs’ swift early inflows and Ethereum’s initially mixed flows.