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Apple Eyes Services-Driven Q3 Lift as App Store Momentum Counters Tariff Costs

Forecasts show a slight EPS lift with modest revenue growth driven by high-margin services on the back of strong App Store trends.

(Apple)
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Overview

  • Analysts expect Q3 EPS of about $1.42 and revenue near $88.6 billion, a 3.3% year-over-year rise fueled by services even as hardware sales slow seasonally.
  • Apple’s Services segment delivered 12% growth to $26.6 billion in Q2, underpinning margin resilience ahead of the July 31 earnings report.
  • Morgan Stanley data indicates U.S. App Store sales jumped 12.5% through July 20 and projects a 12.6% pace for the quarter, suggesting up to $160 million in incremental services revenue.
  • Tim Cook warned of up to $900 million in tariff costs for the June quarter, prompting Apple to expand iPhone assembly in India and Vietnam to diversify its supply chain.
  • With a $3.1 trillion market capitalization supported by $400 billion in trailing revenue and robust profits, Apple is positioned to weather trade pressures and seasonal headwinds.