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AOK: Respiratory Illnesses Keep Sick Leave High in 2025 as Cases Rise Again in Autumn

The insurer expects the year to end near 2024’s total following a February peak followed by a renewed increase since September.

Overview

  • An AOK analysis reports persistently high sickness absence this year, driven chiefly by respiratory infections.
  • Respiratory cases hit a new high in February 2025, then settled below 2024 levels from April before trending up again from September.
  • In the previous year, AOK members averaged 2.3 sick notes, with 228 cases per 100 insured, surpassing the 2023 record and far above 2014–2021 levels.
  • Mental health conditions contribute significantly to lost work time, with sick days up 43 percent over a decade and an average of 28.5 days per case.
  • Electronic sick notes have improved the recording of absences, while phone certifications accounted for about 1.5 percent of 2024 respiratory cases and do not explain the increase.