Overview
- The survey of 1,521 registered voters was conducted December 5–11 and released December 17 by The Argument and Verasight.
- Cross-tabs show Ocasio-Cortez leading among 18–29-year-olds as well as Black and Hispanic voters, while Vance holds an advantage among white voters.
- It is the first time reporting shows her narrowly ahead of Vance in this head-to-head, though analysts caution that such early polls are not predictive.
- Ocasio-Cortez amplified the finding with a one-word post on X, called Vance a “goober” to The Independent, and told Mediaite she “would stomp him.”
- Neither has announced a 2028 bid, with major decisions expected after the 2026 midterms, and recent polling still positions Vance as a leading GOP prospect and Democrats divided among several potential contenders.