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3d ago

AOC Edges JD Vance 51–49 in Early 2028 Test as She Jokes She’d ‘Stomp’ Him

The Argument/Verasight survey is statistically a tie and is being treated as an interesting but tentative data point rather than a forecast.

US Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez celebrates New York City Mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani's victory during an election night event at the Brooklyn Paramount Theater in Brooklyn, New York on November 4, 2025.
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) speaks with reporters as she departs a vote at the U.S. Capitol Nov. 21, 2025.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads JD Vance by two points in a hypothetical 2028 matchup.
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Overview

  • Conducted December 5–11 among 1,521 registered voters, the poll shows Ocasio-Cortez 51% to Vance 49%, within the ±2.7-point margin of error.
  • Ocasio-Cortez amplified the result with a one-word 'Bloop!' post on X and told reporters with a laugh, 'Let the record show, I would stomp him.'
  • Crosstabs show her leading among 18–29-year-olds, Black and Hispanic voters, while Vance leads white voters; men lean Vance and women lean AOC.
  • Reporters note other recent surveys place her behind more established Democrats in primary tests, underscoring the limits of single, early head-to-head polls.
  • Neither has announced a 2028 bid, and major decisions are expected after the 2026 midterms, with Vance widely viewed as the leading GOP prospect and Marco Rubio signaling support if he runs.