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Antarctic Change Accelerates Beyond Expectations, Scientists Warn

Researchers say current climate models miss key processes, limiting reliable forecasts.

Overview

  • At a Royal Society meeting in London on 29–30 September, experts reported Antarctica is changing faster than anticipated, with impacts already felt worldwide.
  • New analysis in Nature Geoscience finds Antarctic climate impacts are worse than assumed, describing a "Greenlandization" marked by shrinking sea ice, warming and faster ice flow.
  • The Southern Ocean is absorbing up to three quarters of excess heat from greenhouse gases, shifting circulation and hastening Antarctic ice melt, researchers said.
  • Met Office scientists warned that poorly understood tipping points could commit the world to more than ten meters of sea‑level rise by 2300 if thresholds are crossed.
  • Scientists highlighted risks to key ecosystems, including krill and deep‑sea sponge and coral habitats, with consequences for fisheries, biodiversity and the carbon cycle.