Overview
- D66 under Rob Jetten and Geert Wilders’ PVV are tied on 26 seats each after about 95% of votes counted, revising an Ipsos exit poll that initially put D66 narrowly ahead.
- Projections indicate the PVV would lose roughly a dozen seats compared with its 2023 result, reflecting a late centrist surge.
- The center-right VVD is projected at roughly 22–23 seats and the Green–Labour alliance at 20, with Frans Timmermans resigning as party leader after the underperformance.
- Wilders remains unlikely to become prime minister as major parties reiterate they will not enter a coalition with him.
- Government formation is expected to be protracted in the highly proportional 150-seat system, and caretaker prime minister Dick Schoof continues to manage affairs during negotiations.