Overview

• A Marist poll conducted May 1-8 shows Andrew Cuomo leading the Democratic primary race with 37% support, followed by Zohran Mamdani at 18%.
• Ranked-choice projections indicate Cuomo would secure 53% by the fifth round, surpassing the 50% threshold needed to win.
• Mamdani leads among voters under 45 with 38% support, while Cuomo dominates among older voters and key demographic groups, including Black and Latino voters.
• Seventeen percent of likely Democratic voters remain undecided, leaving room for potential shifts before early voting begins on June 14.
• Current Mayor Eric Adams has exited the Democratic primary and is running for re-election as an independent candidate.