Overview

• Andrew Cuomo is polling at 38-39% in the Democratic primary for New York City mayor, solidifying his position as the frontrunner three months ahead of the June 24 primary.
• Zohran Mamdani has surged into second place with 10-15% support, fueled by younger and progressive voters, while incumbent Mayor Eric Adams trails in third with 7-8%.
• Cuomo's support is strongest among older voters, Black voters, and Hispanic voters, with nearly half of these groups backing his campaign.
• Public safety remains the top issue for voters, with one-third identifying it as their primary concern, a focus Cuomo has leveraged to consolidate his lead.
• Ranked-choice voting simulations show Cuomo decisively winning the final round with 70% of the vote, underscoring his broad appeal across demographic groups.