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Analysts Say Drax Will Keep Earning Over £1 Million a Day Under New UK Biomass Deal

The four-year contract guarantees £157.50 per megawatt-hour with paid operation restricted to just over a quarter of the time.

Overview

  • Ember estimates Drax will receive about £458.6 million per year from 2027 to 2031 under the extended support package.
  • Last year’s subsidy was reported at £869 million for roughly 5% of UK electricity, indicating lower annual support under the new terms.
  • The contract lifts the guaranteed price to £157.50/MWh, well above current forward wholesale prices of just over £78/MWh.
  • Drax says the arrangement strengthens energy security and, citing Baringa analysis, could deliver up to £3.1 billion in consumer savings over four years.
  • The deal requires 100% sustainably sourced woody biomass with substantial penalties for breaches, as emissions accounting remains contested by Ember and rejected by Drax as flawed, and the FCA’s inquiry into historical pellet-sourcing disclosures continues.