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Analysts Recalibrate Amazon Targets as AWS Momentum and AI Spend Set the Stage for Feb. 5 Earnings

Investors weigh heavy AI outlays versus signs of AWS reacceleration heading into the quarterly report.

Overview

  • Bank of America’s Justin Post kept a buy rating but cut the price target to $286, projecting Q4 revenue of $213 billion, EBIT of $26.0 billion, and roughly 22% AWS growth.
  • Stifel’s Mark Kelley lifted his target to $300 with a Buy, citing resilient advertising trends, healthy Q4 e-commerce checks, and solid AWS performance.
  • Reports point to a potential second round of about 14,000 layoffs across units including Prime Video, HR, and AWS, which Post says could benefit Q1 margins.
  • AWS secured a reported $581 million U.S. Air Force Cloud One contract and rolled out its European Sovereign Cloud with planned Local Zones in Belgium, the Netherlands, and Portugal.
  • Amazon’s heavy AI and cloud capex, estimated around $125 billion in 2025 with more planned in 2026, is pressuring near-term margins even as analysts maintain a broadly positive stance.