Particle.news

Download on the App Store

Analysts Question Konvoy’s $7.6 Billion GTA VI Forecast as Rockstar Sets May 2026 Launch

Rockstar Games confirmed GTA VI’s May 26, 2026 release, fueling debate over projected earnings, sales feasibility, budget recovery, feature plans.

Image
Image
Image
Image

Overview

  • Konvoy forecasts that GTA VI will generate $7.6 billion in revenue within its first 60 days and recoup its estimated $2 billion development budget within 30 days.
  • Daniel Ahmad of Niko Partners describes the $7.6 billion prediction as “an aggressive forecast for the first 60 days,” noting it implies an attach rate near 65 percent on current-generation consoles.
  • Rockstar Games has officially slated GTA VI for May 26, 2026 on PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S, with a simultaneous PC launch still unconfirmed.
  • Historical benchmarks such as GTA V’s $1 billion opening in three days and over 210 million lifetime sales underpin skepticism about matching those figures within a comparable timeframe.
  • Konvoy’s projection includes a new user-generated content platform that would allow creators to build and monetize custom game areas, though its exact implementation remains unverified.