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Analysts Lift Broadcom Outlook on AI ASIC Lead as Stock Drops on China Probe

Fresh notes point to custom chips, cloud networking and software margins as drivers of AI-era growth.

Overview

  • Macquarie initiated Broadcom with an Outperform rating and a $420 price target, arguing the company is well positioned for artificial intelligence.
  • Macquarie forecast a 72% global AI ASIC market CAGR from 2025 to 2028 and projected Broadcom could capture more than 70% share, reflecting faster growth than GPUs.
  • Mizuho reaffirmed Outperform and raised its price target to $410 after Broadcom reported strong results and lifted its fiscal 2026 AI revenue outlook.
  • Analyst commentary highlighted the VMware-driven software expansion, noting operating profit margin rose to 66% from 62%, which supports more stable margins and free cash flow.
  • Broadcom shares fell 3.84% on Wednesday after China opened anti-dumping probes into certain US-made analog ICs that named the company, and Broadcom had not commented as a local industry group cited dumping margins above 300%.