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Analysts Brace for Muted Q1 Outlook as Tier-2 IT Names Outperform

Brokerages have trimmed ratings on large caps after stock rallies, awaiting Q1 earnings to reset guidance

IT stocks no longer 5-year buy-and-hold compounding picks, says HSBC
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Overview

  • Analysts forecast subdued sequential revenue growth for TCS, Wipro, HCL Tech and Tech Mahindra in the June quarter due to cautious client spending and macro uncertainty
  • Mid-tier firms including Coforge, Persistent Systems and eClerx are expected to post 4–7% quarter-on-quarter growth supported by strong deal ramps and favorable currency movements
  • PL Capital downgraded Infosys to Accumulate and moved Mphasis and Persistent Systems to Hold, citing stretched valuations after recent share price rallies
  • Nomura India’s top stock picks ahead of Q1 include Infosys, Coforge and eClerx, while ICICI Securities favors TCS and Mphasis for their resilient fundamentals
  • Q1 FY26 earnings season kicks off July 10, and brokerages stand ready to update forecasts and guidance based on actual revenue prints