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Analyst Says Trump Escalates Resource-Driven Power Play, Pressures Fed as Markets Stay Calm, Europe Critiqued

Investors prioritize potential gains from improved commodity supply over moral objections.

Overview

  • Baader Bank analyst Robert Halver argues the administration is intensifying actions against Venezuela and Iran while seeking strategic control of resources, including concerns over Greenland.
  • He characterizes the reported pursuit of legal action against Fed Chair Jerome Powell over headquarters renovation costs as a move that jeopardizes the Federal Reserve’s independence.
  • The analysis depicts Europe, and Germany in particular, as fragmented and slow on reforms, leaving it with limited influence despite appeals to international law.
  • Financial markets appear relatively calm as investors weigh potential benefits from increased oil supply and improved access to rare earths, which could ease prices and bolster global growth.
  • Halver sees internationally diversified companies and emerging markets as gaining favor with investors and forecasts stronger U.S. growth than Germany in 2026.