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AMD Prepares to Report Q1 Earnings Under Pressure From AI Chip Export Ban

The semiconductor giant faces an $800 million charge and investor caution as analysts anticipate mixed guidance.

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Overview

  • AMD will announce its Q1 FY2025 earnings after the market closes on May 6, with analysts expecting $7.1 billion in revenue and $0.94 adjusted EPS.
  • The Trump administration's tightened export controls on AI chips to China have halted AMD's MI308 shipments, leading to an $800 million charge for inventory and commitments.
  • Options traders are positioning for an 8% stock movement following the earnings report, reflecting uncertainty about AMD's outlook.
  • Investor sentiment remains cautious, with AMD shares down 17% year-to-date and 36% over the past year amid broader semiconductor challenges.
  • Analysts remain divided, with Lynx Equity issuing a bearish FY2025 revenue forecast of $29.1 billion and a $90 price target, while others highlight robust AI demand as a potential tailwind.