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AMD Eyes China AI Exports as Wells Fargo Raises Price Target to $185

The plan to resume MI308 shipments to China hinges on Commerce Department licenses that would help AMD recapture over $1.5 billion in annual revenue.

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Overview

  • On July 15, AMD said it will resume MI308 AI chip exports to China once it secures U.S. Commerce Department licenses, driving a 6% intraday gain in its shares.
  • The Commerce Department has reopened review of AMD’s export applications for the MI308 series, reopening a critical channel to China’s semiconductor market.
  • Wells Fargo upgraded AMD to an Overweight rating on July 16 and lifted its price target from $120 to $185, citing strong datacenter demand and roadmap execution.
  • MI308 accelerators are central to AMD’s strategy to challenge Nvidia’s H100/H200 GPUs and Intel’s AI chips in high-performance computing.
  • Geopolitical and regulatory uncertainties under current U.S.-China trade policies remain key risks to AMD’s ability to sustain growth in its second-largest market.