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Amazon Rainforest on Brink of Collapse by 2050, Study Finds

A new study warns that climate change, deforestation, and water stress could push the Amazon rainforest to a tipping point within three decades.

The Amazon River and the Amazon forest in Yurua, Ucayali, in Peru in June 2021.
Amazon rainforest
Image
A deforested area of Amazonia rainforest in Labrea, Brazil, on Sept. 15, 2021.

Overview

  • A new study predicts the Amazon rainforest could reach a tipping point by 2050, leading to a large-scale collapse with severe global implications.
  • The study identifies climate change, deforestation, and water stress as key factors pushing the Amazon towards this critical threshold.
  • Up to 47% of the Amazon could be exposed to stresses that risk triggering a collapse, affecting biodiversity, climate stability, and regional water supply.
  • The Amazon's role as a crucial carbon sink is at risk, with potential shifts from absorbing to emitting carbon due to forest degradation.
  • Scientists call for urgent action to halt deforestation, restore forests, and reduce greenhouse gas emissions to prevent the Amazon's collapse.