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Alibaba Extends 2025 Rally as JPMorgan Lifts Target on AI Push

A JPMorgan upgrade underscores investor enthusiasm for Alibaba's AI pivot.

Overview

  • JPMorgan raised its Hong Kong target to HK$240, projecting roughly 36% upside by 2026 and citing strengthening AI–cloud momentum.
  • Alibaba shares have about doubled year to date and its Hong Kong stock jumped 53% in September, even as short interest increased and valuation debates continued.
  • CEO Eddie Wu said AI spending will exceed the original RMB380 billion three‑year pledge, while the cloud unit grew 26% year over year and AI revenues posted eight consecutive quarters of triple‑digit growth.
  • At its September event the company introduced Qwen3‑Max, a large language model with over 1 trillion parameters, and highlighted a partnership with Nvidia spanning AI tools and work in humanoid robotics.
  • Bloomberg reported Alibaba is courting established Amazon sellers to expand AliExpress by offering lower shipping fees and smaller sales cuts, targeting growth in Europe and Latin America.