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Alberta Posts $5.8B Surplus in Year-End Fiscal Update

The province still faces a projected $5.2 billion deficit by March 2026 driven by lower oil revenues and tax cuts

Overview

  • Alberta closed its 2024-25 books with a $5.8 billion surplus, slightly below earlier estimates of nearly $6 billion
  • The budget introduced in February forecast a $5.2 billion shortfall for the year ending March 2026
  • Future deficits are attributed to declining oil prices, recently enacted tax cuts and U.S. trade tariffs
  • A contingency fund established to cushion tariff impacts aims to protect provincial revenues from global uncertainties
  • Critics warn that funding for health and education could lag behind population growth and inflation