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Alberta Keeps 2025–26 Deficit at $6.4 Billion in Q2 Fiscal Update

Lower resource revenue driven by a reduced oil‑price outlook explains the shortfall.

Overview

  • The province now pegs West Texas Intermediate at US$61.50 a barrel, with officials noting a US$1 move shifts revenue by about $750 million.
  • Non‑renewable resource income is forecast at $15.4 billion for 2025–26, down from the $25.2 billion peak in 2022–23.
  • Total revenue is projected at $73 billion against $79.4 billion in expenses, with taxpayer‑supported debt seen reaching about $82.9 billion by March.
  • About $881 million from the contingency fund is committed to compensation from newly settled public‑sector labour agreements.
  • Record oil sands output contrasts with weak global demand, and the Heritage Fund stands at roughly $31.5 billion after earning $770 million in Q2.