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Alaska Senate Race Remains Unresolved After 'Decoy Dan' Reports and Ongoing Counts

The outcome now hinges on ranked‑choice transfers and tens of thousands of outstanding absentee and hand‑counted ballots.

Overview

  • Democrat Mary Peltola holds a narrow first‑choice lead of roughly 600–700 votes with about three‑quarters of ballots reported, and officials have tens of thousands of mail and hand‑counted rural ballots left to process.
  • Analysts and ballot‑level reviews show many voters who picked the namesake candidate Daniel J. Sullivan ranked Peltola as their second choice, making it less likely that the decoy candidacy will automatically boost incumbent Dan S. Sullivan.
  • The Justice Department sued before the election seeking remedies tied to alleged voter confusion, a federal judge dismissed that suit for lack of standing on Nov. 1, and the DOJ has appealed that ruling.
  • Campaigns and election officials are contesting access to preliminary absentee records and preserving ballots after reports of spoiled or overvote ballots where voters marked both Sullivans, and Peltola’s campaign has filed a lawsuit seeking those preliminary absentee records.
  • Alaska will run its ranked‑choice redistribution after the absentee deadline on November 18, and small shifts in transfers or how spoiled ballots are handled could change the razor‑thin outcome and trigger further legal or forensic review.