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Alaska Air Guides Q3 Profit to Low End as Fuel Costs Climb

Refinery outages on the West Coast have pushed Alaska’s fuel bill higher, pressuring its profit outlook.

Overview

  • Alaska now expects third-quarter adjusted EPS at the low end of its prior $1.00–$1.40 range.
  • The carrier lifted its Q3 fuel price outlook to $2.50–$2.55 per gallon from about $2.45 due to regional refinery disruptions.
  • Weather and air-traffic-control issues increased expenses through overtime, premium pay and passenger compensation.
  • A July 20 IT outage tied to a faulty software update is projected to reduce the quarter’s EPS by roughly $0.10.
  • Unit revenue is tracking near the high end of guidance, August yields turned positive on premium and corporate demand, and 2025 EPS is guided to above $3.25, below some analyst estimates.