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AlabamaIndiana Rose Bowl Centers on Pressuring Heisman QB Fernando Mendoza

Analysts say sustained pressure, not heavy blitzing, offers Alabama its clearest path against an undefeated team with an elite defense.

Overview

  • Top-seeded Indiana (13-0) meets No. 9 Alabama in the Rose Bowl quarterfinal on Jan. 1 at 4 p.m. ET, with oddsmakers listing the Hoosiers as roughly a touchdown favorite.
  • Pro Football Focus data show Fernando Mendoza completes 76.5% of passes when kept clean versus 51.4% under pressure, and Indiana’s closest games came when opponents produced double‑digit pressures.
  • AL.com notes Mendoza has thrown more touchdowns when blitzed, reinforcing calls for Alabama to generate pressure with its front instead of frequent extra rushers.
  • Fox SportsGeoff Schwartz highlighted Alabama’s season-long pass‑rush issues, a concern paired with Tide rushing struggles and turnover risk against a disciplined Hoosiers defense.
  • Alabama expects edge rusher LT Overton back after missing two games, while Indiana enters off nearly a month without playing as some analysts warn of potential rust; DC Bryant Haines expressed confidence on X and forecasts call for rain in Pasadena.