Overview

• Toronto holds a narrow AL East lead with fewer than 20 games remaining, with the three contenders separated by roughly 3.5 games.
• New York has picked up pace on an 11–3 run, following series wins over the Astros and Blue Jays.
• Tiebreaker leverage currently favors Boston over New York at 8–2 in the season series, while Toronto leads both rivals (8–5 vs. Yankees, 7–3 vs. Red Sox).
• Boston’s path leans on a deep rotation and bullpen, yet run production has dipped since Roman Anthony’s oblique injury.
• All three clubs sit above 95% playoff odds per FanGraphs, with the Yankees’ 19–23 divisional mark and a schedule that includes Detroit, Boston, seven with Baltimore and the White Sox likely to shape seeding.