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AL Central Turns on Tigers-Guardians Series as Mets’ Wild-Card Path Narrows

Head-to-head tiebreakers could decide both races.

Overview

  • The Tigers lead Cleveland by one game entering a three-game set in Cleveland from Sept. 23–25, with Tarik Skubal facing Gavin Williams in the opener.
  • The Guardians hold a 6–4 edge in the season series, so one win secures the tiebreaker for Cleveland, while a Detroit sweep would flip it to the Tigers.
  • Detroit’s magic number to clinch the division is six, with scenarios ranging from clinching via a sweep to trailing with Cleveland’s tiebreaker if swept.
  • Cleveland’s climb has been powered by pitching — MLB-best 3.38 ERA since the All-Star break — while non-Skubal Tigers starters have posted a 5.48 ERA in the second half; Skubal owns a 0.41 ERA vs. Cleveland this year.
  • In the NL, the Mets are tied with the Reds for the final wild-card spot but trail on the tiebreaker, have lost 11 of 15, and finish on the road as Cincinnati closes with Pirates then Brewers.