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AI’s Promise vs. Payoff: MIT Says 95% of Corporate GenAI Pilots Show No Measurable Gains

Investors weigh rosy forecasts against costly integrations, unclear ROI, growing public unease.

Overview

  • Morgan Stanley estimates full-scale adoption could deliver about $920 billion in annual net benefits to S&P 500 companies and add $13–$16 trillion in market value, with gains likely to take years and carry significant execution risk.
  • MIT’s ‘GenAI Divide’ finds only about 5% of integrated pilots are generating rapid revenue, with roughly 95% delivering no measurable P&L impact, and reports of AI-linked stocks slipping after the findings.
  • A Google Cloud survey shows 87% of videogame developers already use AI agents to streamline work, yet 63% worry about data ownership and many cite high integration costs and difficulty measuring returns.
  • Indeed’s Work Ahead report in India says 43% of workers feel ready to adopt generative and agentic AI within two to five years, with mid-career professionals leading and about two in ten blue-collar workers already using such tools.
  • A Reuters/Ipsos poll finds 71% of Americans fear AI will permanently displace many workers, with 61% concerned about the technology’s power demands and broad unease over misuse in politics and security.