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AI’s Impact on Jobs Shifts Toward Transformation, Not Cuts

Most companies foresee AI augmenting staff rather than reducing headcount.

Overview

  • Indeed’s 2025 AI at Work report estimates that 26% of jobs posted on its platform could be highly transformed by generative AI.
  • Only 19 skills in Indeed’s dataset (0.7%) were judged very likely to be fully replaced, with cognitive, repetitive tasks more exposed than physically intensive roles such as nursing.
  • A Creatio survey of more than 550 decision-makers found just 11% expect significant near-term layoffs from AI, while 83% anticipate agents will support employees or create new roles.
  • Reporting indicates AI’s overall labor-market impact remains limited so far, adoption varies widely by sector and firm, and many companies have yet to unlock broad efficiency gains.
  • Warnings persist about medium-term disruption, including Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei’s projection of large entry-level white-collar losses, and Australian analysis citing McKinsey’s estimate that about 9% of workers may need to switch roles by 2030.