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Airbus Raises 20-Year Jet Demand Forecast to 43,420 Deliveries

The forecast relies on 3.6% annual traffic growth, banking on tariff relief secured in a U.S.-China trade truce.

The logo of Airbus is pictured outside the Airbus facility in Saint-Nazaire, France, November 7, 2023. REUTERS/Stephane Mahe/File Photo
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Overview

  • Airbus increased its 20-year forecast by 2% to 43,420 deliveries from 2025 through 2044, covering 42,450 passenger jets and 970 freighters.
  • Projected single-aisle deliveries climbed to 34,250 aircraft, with models such as the A320neo family accounting for 56% of new capacity.
  • The outlook for wide-body passenger jets rose by 3% to 8,200 units, driven by escalating long-haul demand from Gulf carriers.
  • Airbus kept its air traffic growth assumption at 3.6% per year while trimming its trade growth projection to 2.6% and global GDP to 2.5%.
  • U.S. and Chinese officials agreed on June 10 to restore a trade truce and roll back mutual restrictions, reinforcing industry supply-chain stability.