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Air Canada Lowers Profit Forecast as U.S. Travel Bookings Decline

Trade tensions, a weaker Canadian dollar, and political rhetoric drive a sharp drop in cross-border travel, impacting airlines and U.S. tourism revenue.

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An Air Canada aircraft taxis after landing at Tokyo's Haneda airport on Jan. 4, 2025. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Craig Wong
An Air Canada plane takes off from Montreal-Pierre Elliott Trudeau International Airport in Montreal, Friday, Sept. 13, 2024.

Overview

  • Air Canada reports a 'low teens' percentage decline in U.S.-bound bookings over the next six months, citing trade tensions and currency weakness.
  • The airline revised its 2025 EBITDA forecast downward by $144 million to a range of $2.3 billion to $2.6 billion and raised fares to offset losses.
  • New York City tourism officials project a drop of 3.5 million visitors in 2025, with over half the decline attributed to fewer Canadian travelers.
  • Canadians are canceling U.S. trips and boycotting American goods following tariffs and President Trump's annexation rhetoric.
  • North American carriers are cutting flight schedules, tightening cost controls, and focusing on alternative markets like Mexico and the Caribbean to stabilize revenue.