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Air Canada Cuts 2025 Outlook After $375 Million Flight Attendant Disruption

Wage terms now move to mediation following a vote rejecting a tentative deal.

An Air Canada Express plane prepares to take off from Billy Bishop Toronto City Airport in Toronto, Ontario, Canada September 13, 2025.  REUTERS/Carlos Osorio/File Photo

Overview

  • The airline now projects full-year adjusted EBITDA of $2.9 billion to $3.1 billion, below the previously suspended range of $3.2 billion to $3.6 billion.
  • Air Canada attributes the $375 million impact to an estimated $430 million revenue hit, about $90 million in incremental costs, and $145 million in savings primarily from lower fuel.
  • Operated capacity in the third quarter declined about 2% year over year after more than 3,200 flight cancellations.
  • The company expects third-quarter operating income between $250 million and $300 million.
  • The three-day strike ended on Aug. 19, and the carrier required additional days to restore full operations.