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AI to Obsolete Most Jobs by 2045, Leaving Only Niche Human-Centric Roles

A policy response will determine whether the shift leads to deep inequality or to a post-scarcity economy

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Overview

  • Adam Dorr of RethinkX warns that rapid advances in AI and robotics could render nearly all human jobs obsolete by 2045.
  • He says only a narrow set of professions grounded in trust, empathy or ethical judgment are likely to persist.
  • Dorr argues that without bold policy reforms the upheaval could drive mass inequality or, alternatively, usher in a ‘super-abundance’ society.
  • ManpowerGroup analysis identifies lorry drivers, teachers, cleaners, care assistants, chefs and shop workers as the least exposed to automation today.
  • Prominent AI researchers and tech CEOs remain split over whether automation will eliminate roles outright or transform them into new forms of work.