AI Predicts Earth's Peak Warming as 2024 Becomes Hottest Year on Record
New research shows a 90% likelihood of unprecedented heat extremes even with rapid decarbonization, highlighting the urgent need for global adaptation efforts.
- Stanford and Colorado State researchers used AI to project future warming scenarios, revealing a 90% chance that the hottest year this century will exceed 1.8°C above pre-industrial levels, even with aggressive emissions cuts.
- The study underscores that limiting global warming to 1.5°C, a key Paris Agreement target, is now nearly unattainable, with a 50% chance of surpassing 2°C despite current decarbonization goals.
- 2024 has officially been declared the hottest year since records began, with extreme heatwaves, floods, and storms affecting billions worldwide and setting alarming new climate benchmarks.
- Regions such as South Asia, the Mediterranean, and parts of Africa could face over 3°C of warming by 2060 under slower emissions reductions, exacerbating vulnerabilities in already at-risk populations.
- Experts emphasize the need to prioritize climate adaptation alongside decarbonization, warning that infrastructure and preparedness must evolve to address increasingly severe climate extremes.