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AI Memory Squeeze Sends Global Smartphone Shipments Down 22%

Soaring DRAM and NAND prices driven by AI data‑center demand are forcing vendors to raise prices, drop budget models, delay recovery to 2028 at the earliest.

Overview

  • Market researcher IDC reports a 22% year‑over‑year fall in smartphone shipments in the September quarter, the steepest quarterly drop on record.
  • IDC says memory costs have jumped about 350% year over year because AI data centers have soaked up DRAM and NAND supply, sharply raising component bills for phone makers.
  • Manufacturers have responded by increasing retail prices, cutting specs on new models, and eliminating lower‑end devices to protect margins.
  • Apple and Samsung are best positioned to benefit from a premium‑weighted market, while volume‑focused Chinese brands such as Xiaomi and OPPO have taken the largest hits.
  • Analysts warn the shock could reshape the market by concentrating share among premium vendors, pushing consumers toward pricier or refurbished phones, and delaying a broad recovery until 2028 or later.