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AI Market Surge Draws Bubble Warnings as Goldman Says Spending Is Sustainable

A Bank of America poll now flags tech as overvalued, with AI viewed as the top tail risk.

Overview

  • Bank of America’s October survey found 54% of fund managers view tech as overvalued and cited AI as the market’s biggest tail risk.
  • JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon said AI is real but some asset prices are in bubble territory and certain projects may not secure the power or returns they anticipate.
  • Goldman Sachs argued AI-related capex is under roughly 1% of US GDP and justified by projected productivity gains that could far outweigh current spending.
  • IMF officials said today’s AI investment shows dot‑com echoes yet is less likely to be systemic because funding is largely equity and cash rather than debt.
  • Analysts flagged risks from concentrated gains and ‘circular’ supplier‑customer financing in large AI deals, with some pointing to stretched valuation gauges such as the Buffett Indicator.