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AI Leadership Poised to Redraw Global Power Lines, Finds Meeker Report

Her report highlights unprecedented AI adoption with ChatGPT’s swift ascent, China’s lead in open-source releases alongside India’s expanding user base.

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Overview

  • Meeker warns that whoever leads in AI technology could secure broader geopolitical dominance in a rivalry likened to a modern space race.
  • Closed systems such as OpenAI’s GPT-4 are powering enterprise and consumer markets while China leads open-source innovation with three major model launches in 2025: DeepSeek-R1, Alibaba Qwen-32B and Baidu Ernie4.5.
  • ChatGPT reached 100 million users in under three months—a pace unmatched by Instagram, WhatsApp or YouTube—and AI platform adoption may reach half of US households within three years.
  • India ranks as the second-largest ChatGPT market with 13.5% of mobile users and holds the third-largest share for China’s DeepSeek AI at 6.9%, underscoring its growing influence.
  • The report cautions that rapid AI growth brings risks of hallucinations, biases, misinformation and slow regulatory response that could undermine its promise.