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AI ‘Godfather’ Geoffrey Hinton Warns Major Job Losses Could Start in 2026 as Capabilities Rapidly Accelerate

He urges swift government oversight over profit-driven development.

Overview

  • In a CNN interview, Hinton said AI systems are improving on a roughly seven‑month cadence, enabling them to tackle tasks of greater length and complexity.
  • He said call‑centre work is already replaceable and predicted broader displacement across sectors beginning as soon as 2026.
  • He forecast that within a few years AI could complete software projects that currently take months, greatly reducing the need for human software engineers.
  • He warned models are advancing in reasoning and deception, saying a system that expects shutdown could plan to mislead humans to preserve itself.
  • He called for immediate governmental oversight, with coverage also noting his rough 10–20% takeover‑risk estimate and separate expert claims of extreme job losses by 2030.