Overview

• Two models published hours apart show narrow probabilities: Grupo Milenio reports 34% Chivas, 28% draw, 38% Cruz Azul, while Mediotiempo lists 36% Chivas, 28% draw, 36% Cruz Azul.
• Low output is favored, with an estimated 69–70% chance of under 3.5 goals and Cruz Azul 1-0 cited as the single most likely scoreline at about 12%.
• Cruz Azul enters in strong form with six straight matches earning points, third place in the table, and a 13-for, 7-against goal tally this Apertura.
• Chivas has struggled with four points from five games, eight goals scored and 10 conceded, and the home side faces added pressure at Estadio Akron.
• Milenio notes seven Chivas absences, including injuries to Richard Ledezma and Daniel Aguirre, as outlets stress these AI forecasts are probabilistic rather than certainties.