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AI Expansion Threatens Net Zero Commitments, Spurs $29 Billion Utility Rate Hikes

Mounting rate hike applications coupled with uncertain load forecasts are forcing utilities to confront AI’s clash with clean energy goals.

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Overview

  • The Cambridge Minderoo Center’s July 10 report labels simultaneous AI growth and net zero achievement as “magical thinking” and urges governments to embed AI’s energy footprint in decarbonization plans.
  • U.S. power utilities have requested $29 billion in electricity rate increases for the first half of 2025, a 142 percent rise over early 2024, attributing the surge to AI data center loads.
  • A London Economics International study for the Southern Environmental Law Center highlights significant uncertainty in datacenter load forecasts and a prevailing bias toward overestimating future demand.
  • Data centers currently contribute about 1.5 percent of global greenhouse gas emissions and could account for 8 percent by 2040 without stricter efficiency standards or regulatory intervention.
  • Tech firms are securing long-term baseload power through nuclear and gas agreements, and the Minderoo report calls for mandatory reporting of data center energy and water consumption.