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AI-Driven Memory Shortage Forces Apple and Microsoft to Raise Device Prices as Chipmakers Lock Supply

Take-or-pay contracts with a shift to high-bandwidth memory signal that higher consumer device prices could persist until new fabs ramp around 2028.

Overview

  • Apple and Microsoft announced broad hardware price increases on Thursday and said soaring memory and NAND costs have reached a point they can no longer absorb, with Microsoft warning of another doubling of memory costs by late 2027.
  • Micron disclosed multi-year strategic customer agreements that commit buyers to purchase set volumes through 2030 and said those deals now account for a large share of its revenue, effectively reserving future output for cloud and AI customers.
  • Industry price data show extreme moves in 2026 with contract DRAM up roughly 90% in Q1 and another 60% in Q2 and overall memory and storage costs about four times higher than three quarters earlier.
  • Manufacturers are shifting production toward high-bandwidth memory for AI accelerators, reducing available consumer-grade DRAM and NAND and forcing OEMs to drop product configurations, discontinue some SKUs, or pass costs to buyers.
  • Analysts expect meaningful supply relief only when new fabs come online around 2028, so many firms now plan multi-year deals and consumers should expect higher device prices and slower upgrade cycles through at least 2030.