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AI Data Centers Could Use 14% of U.S. Electricity by 2030, McKinsey Says

The report points to a rapid buildout that leans on new gas plants as companies chase AI capacity.

Overview

  • McKinsey estimates data‑center power demand will grow 17% annually worldwide through 2030, accelerating to 25% per year in the United States.
  • U.S. data centers could account for more than 14% of national electricity use by 2030, which would be over triple their 2023 share.
  • Utilities project roughly 60 gigawatts of additional load tied to data centers this decade, and Louisiana regulators approved $5 billion in cost recovery for three natural‑gas plants to serve a Meta facility.
  • Some campuses are adding on‑site generation to meet near‑term needs, including a natural‑gas plant powering the Stargate site in Abilene, Texas that will host Oracle and OpenAI servers.
  • DOE figures show data centers used 4.4% of U.S. electricity in 2023 and could reach 7–12% by 2028, as rising rack power densities and heavy cooling and water needs strain grids and costs, with recent analyses recording sharp wholesale price spikes near major clusters.