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AI and Robotics to Replace Most Human Jobs by 2045

The projection underscores the urgent need for bold economic reforms to avert widescale job loss alongside worsening inequality

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Overview

  • RethinkX director Adam Dorr warns this shift will be fast and disruptive as machines outmatch humans in speed, accuracy and cost efficiency.
  • Roles involving routine cognitive tasks and predictable processes face the greatest risk of automation.
  • Only a handful of professions—sports coaches, politicians, sex workers and ethicists—rely on uniquely human skills and are expected to endure.
  • Experts including David Autor and Ford CEO Jim Farley warn that unchecked displacement could create a dystopian labor market and see half of US white-collar jobs vanish.
  • Dorr and AI leaders such as Sam Altman call for bold experiments in redefining work, value and ownership to prevent widescale unemployment and inequality.