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After Texas Win, GOP Redistricting Drive Faces Indiana Test as Democrats Center Affordability

State-level resistance and unresolved court fights leave the eventual House balance from mid‑cycle map changes uncertain.

Overview

  • Last week’s Supreme Court decision let Texas implement a new congressional map that analysts say could net Republicans up to five seats.
  • Indiana’s House advanced a map that could wipe out Democrats’ two seats, but GOP senators reportedly lack votes as Trump allies ramp up threats of primary challenges and lawmakers report harassment.
  • California voters approved Proposition 50, a Democratic map that Politico reports could flip several GOP-held seats and has Republican incumbents competing for fewer favorable districts.
  • Democratic governors agreed to make cost of living the centerpiece of 2026 campaigns, pointing to gains in New Jersey and Virginia and a sharply narrowed margin in a Tennessee House special election.
  • Turnover is accelerating with roughly 40 House members not seeking reelection, and TPR reports the closely divided chamber and shifting maps could change control depending on pending votes and litigation.