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After Maduro's Seizure, U.S. Leverage Over Venezuelan Oil Puts Cuba Under New Pressure

Analysts foresee an energy squeeze with tougher sanctions, not an invasion.

Overview

  • President Trump and senior officials have openly cast Cuba as the next focus following the Caracas raid that brought Nicolás Maduro into U.S. custody.
  • A senior White House official says the United States controls Venezuela’s oil supply, heightening the risk to Cuba’s subsidized imports estimated at 25,000 to 30,000 barrels per day.
  • Havana reports 32 Cuban security personnel were killed during the operation and has appealed to CELAC to defend regional sovereignty.
  • Experts cited by UPI and the South China Morning Post expect intensified sanctions, maritime enforcement and possible energy cutoffs rather than a ground assault.
  • China is described as cautious about confronting Washington over Cuba, while analysts note uncertainty over how cooperative Venezuelan institutions will be under U.S. influence.