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After 80+ Killed in U.S. Sea Strikes, Trump Signals Expansion Into Venezuela

New modeling warns that a wider fight could trigger displacement in the millions.

Overview

  • The U.S. campaign blowing up alleged drug boats off Venezuela has killed at least 83 people, drawing United Nations condemnation as unlawful extrajudicial killings.
  • President Trump has said land operations could start "very soon" as a carrier strike group led by the USS Gerald R. Ford and more than 15,000 U.S. personnel posture offshore.
  • A Niskanen Center study projects 1.7 million to 3 million additional refugees if limited conflict unfolds and more than 4 million if fighting becomes protracted, though some experts foresee minimal movement from narrowly targeted strikes.
  • Critics say the drug rationale is undercut by Trump’s pardon of former Honduran president Juan Orlando Hernández, who was convicted of conspiring to import hundreds of tons of cocaine.
  • Legal commentators argue the strikes lack clear authorization under U.S. or international law, and note Trump’s declaration to close Venezuelan airspace could constitute an illegal act of war if enforced.