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AfD Tops Union Among Core Supporters as CDU/CSU Widen Lead in General Polls

Distinct Insa and Forsa surveys reveal AfD’s growing core foothold even as mainstream conservatives regain momentum in broader voting intention figures.

Alice Weidel (AfD), Bundes- und Fraktionsvorsitzende, spricht bei einer Wahlkampfveranstaltung der AfD. In der kreisfreien Stadt Cottbus findet am 11. September die Hauptwahl eines neuen Oberbürgermeisters bzw. einer Oberbürgermeisterin statt, bei der der bisherige Amtsinhaber Kelch (CDU) nicht erneut antritt. Eine Kandidatin und sechs Kandidaten bewerben sich um seine Nachfolge. Eine eventuelle Stichwahl findet am 9. Oktober statt. Stammwähler entscheidend.
Bundeskanzler Friedrich Merz (CDU)
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Overview

  • An Insa survey shows 20 percent of respondents ‘surely’ backing AfD compared with 19 percent for the CDU/CSU, marking the first time the far-right party leads in core voter loyalty.
  • The same Insa ‘Sonntagsfrage’ places the CDU/CSU at 26.5 percent against AfD’s 24.5 percent in overall voting intention.
  • Forsa’s latest Trendbarometer gives the Union 27 percent—its highest share since mid-March—while AfD support declines to 23 percent.
  • The Greens improve to 12 percent in Forsa polling to overtake the Left Party at 11 percent, with both FDP and BSW remaining at three percent.
  • Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s approval rating stands at 37 percent nationwide and falls to 29 percent in East Germany compared with 38 percent in the West.